Supreme Court appears ready to rule on 'Political Question' in redistricting

Published June 23, 2017

by Michael Bitzer, Political Science Professor, Catawba College, wfae.org,, June 19, 2017.

The U.S. Supreme Court has agreed to hear a Wisconsin redistricting case and consider whether partisan gerrymandering is constitutional.

In the past, the courts have deferred on answering whether partisan gerrymandering is constitutional or not for the simple fact that it inserts the judiciary into a “political question.”

In 2004, the U.S. Supreme Court upheld a redistricting effort, drawn by Republicans, in Pennsylvania against the claim that excessive partisan gerrymandering occurred. In the majority’s opinion, Justice Antonin Scalia noted that partisan gerrymandering is as old as colonial America, and that ultimately, it is not for the courts to insert themselves into the political actions of legislative redistricting.

However, one justice, who joined the majority’s opinion, wrote that while there was no judicial standard by which to judge when a district was politically manipulated through gerrymandering, he would “not foreclose all possibility of judicial relief if some limited and precise rationale were found” to adjudicate the issue of partisan gerrymandering.

In his concurrence, Justice Anthony Kennedy laid out what he saw as the two obstacles to tackling partisan gerrymandering by the courts: first, that there are no “comprehensive and neutral principles for drawing electoral boundaries,” and second, there are “rules to limit and confine” when the courts should engage in reviewing redistricting claims.

The Wisconsin redistricting case may have some of the answers to Justice Kennedy’s concerns about inserting the courts into reviewing partisan gerrymandering. Much has already been analyzed about the Wisconsin cases that will be reviewed in next year’s term of the Supreme Court, but the Old North State is certainly one that will be watching the developments.

At the heart of redistricting controversies is the issue of when one party “packs” or “cracks” voters. By placing an over-abundance of voters who cast ballots for one party into a district (thus “packing” partisan loyalists), it frees up surrounding districts to favor the other party. Conversely, by splitting those same partisan voters into multiple districts, they are said to be “cracked” into districts to avoid being able to elect one of their own.

An example of “packing” could be seen in the recent North Carolina congressional districts in 2016. With new congressional district maps drawn by Republicans in the North Carolina General Assembly, the vote totals for all Republican congressional candidates came to 53 percent of the state-wide vote; however, they won ten out of the 13 seats, or 77 percent. The Republican congressional district with the largest margin of victory was in the Third District, with GOP Walter Jones winning 67 percent of the vote. The “narrowest” GOP winner was in the Thirteenth District, with first-time Republican Ted Budd receiving 56 percent—one point above what most political scientists would consider a “competitive” range of 45 to 55 percent.

Conversely, the three congressional Democrats won with over two-thirds of the votes in their respective districts.

In 2016’s N.C. General Assembly elections, Republicans won 52.4 percent of the statewide vote in the state house elections, but secured 61.7 percent of the seats; in the state senate, Republicans won 55 percent of the statewide vote cast, but laid claim to 70 percent of the upper chamber’s seats.

This pattern—of one party winning a greater percentage of the districts than their statewide vote—is a similar claim to the issue of the challenged Wisconsin districts as well. And ultimately, it will be Justice Kennedy who determines if the Wisconsin case brings a satisfactory way of having the courts intercede in this most political of activities in the United States.

http://wfae.org/post/supreme-court-now-appears-ready-insert-itself-political-question-redistricting

June 23, 2017 at 1:13 pm
Richard L Bunce says:

The suggested test in the Wisconsin case is nonsense.

Looking at votes cast in an election and measuring margins of victories and using that that rule districts constitutional or not is nonsense. What if a party just had a bad candidate on the ballot in that district? What if a party had bad candidate(s) at the top of the ticket in that election? What if there was a hot button ballot issue that drove one point of views turnout in that election?

This also locks in the two major party monopoly on elections. Ballot access far bigger problem than gerrymandering in the long run. No accommodation for independent and third party voters in drawing districts.

There are no independent or non-partition commissions. As long as people are involved and demographic data other than resident address are used there will be gerrymandering. Big data and deep learning are only going to make this worse where seemingly innocent metrics will be used for big political gain. It is already the case that some of the Census race as a social construct based on self identification categories are better indicators of voter preference than party affiliation. The major parties are already using that to their political advantage in drawing districts thanks to the court rulings that have perverted the intent of the 15th Amendment, CRA, and VRA.

For the 2020 Census the Republican Party should ask all their members to self identify their race as Conservative Americans or some other little used racial identifier so that they can use that data to draw political districts protected by the Courts based on 15th Amendment, CRA, and VRA precedents.

The solution is to use open source algorithms that use NO demographic data other than resident address to draw the districts. Here is an example.

http://bdistricting.com/2010/NC_Congress/