Bitzer's early assessment of NC's 2024 election
North Carolina voters cast a record number of votes, but it was not a record percentage (73) of voters. Chatham County had the highest turnout. Read More
NC SPIN Posts by Michael Bitzer
Analyzing the Helene-FEMA designated NC counties
One-third of state voters are in the storm affected counties. What could be the political impact of Helene? Read More
So what might NC's 2024 electorate look like?
Registered Republicans had a +6 point advantage in voting in 2020. Unaffiliated voters had a -6 point deficit, meaning Republicans outvoted Unaffiliated voters. Read More
Some factors to watch now that we have Harris-Walz versus Trump-Vance
The message you will be hearing over the next three months is about turnout. Less than 3 percent of voters could determine the winners. Read More
Five weeks that felt like five years: Some reflections on where we are and where we are heading in 2024's election
Who knows what will happen as the dog days of summer become September, the traditional official Labor Day beginning of the elections? Read More
The nexus of mobilization & engaged (or lack thereof) voters
With polls showing that voters in both parties are not enthusiastic about either presidential candidate. The voters who sit out the election are likely going to determine who wins. Read More
The tendency and tumble of split ticket voting in NC
Could we see a few or many of the electorate voting Trump-Stein or Biden-Robinson? Read More
You mean we have to vote again? Runoffs and second primaries in the 2024 election.
Election runoffs, like RC Cola and Moon Pies are mostly a southern phenomenon. Read More
Past trends in NC's primary elections & voting methods: More primary voters moving to early voting
Voters have become more willing to use early in-person voting and correspondingly, the number of votes cast on primary election day has dropped. Read More
Now all GOP eyes turn south to the Palmetto state
"South Carolina is the third most representative state" when it comes to Republican Party representativeness, and "is about twice as representative of the national Republican primary electorate as Iowa and New Hampshire". Read More
