New Poll indicates NC Republicans would prefer someone else to Donald Trump in the 2024 Presidential Primary

Published December 15, 2022

  1. With which political party are you registered?  

Total 500 

REPUBLICAN 70.0% 

UNAFFILIATED 30.0% 

  1. Thinking ahead to the 2024 Republican Primary elections for President and Governor  — how likely is it that you will vote? If you don’t vote in Republican primaries just say  so. Would you say you are very likely, somewhat likely, not likely at all or don’t vote in  Republican primaries? 

Total 500 

VERY LIKELY 92.0% 

SOMEWHAT LIKELY 8.0% 

I am going to read some names of people. For each one, please tell me whether you have  a favorable or unfavorable opinion of the person. If I name someone that you have no  opinion of or have never heard of, just tell me and we'll go on to the next one. 

  1. Opinion: Donald Trump 

Total 500 

FAVORABLE 70.1% 

 Very 39.8% 

 Somewhat 30.3% 

UNFAVORABLE 28.4% 

 Somewhat 8.5% 

 Very 19.9% 

NO OPINION 1.5% 

Net Diff. 41.7%

  1. Opinion: Ron DeSantis  

Total 500 

FAVORABLE 81.7% 

 Very 66.4% 

 Somewhat 15.3% 

UNFAVORABLE 10.8% 

 Somewhat 4.1% 

 Very 6.8% 

NO OPINION 5.0% 

NEVER HEARD OF 2.5% 

Net Diff. 70.9% 

  1. If the Republican primary election for President was being held today, for whom would  you vote? 

Total 500 

DONALD TRUMP 34.5% 

 Vote 30.4% 

 Lean 4.1% 

RON DESANTIS 56.3% 

 Vote 53.8% 

 Lean 2.6% 

FIRM UNDECIDED 9.2% 

Net Diff. -21.8% 

  1. Thinking about the 2024 Republican primary for President…… 

Do you want Donald Trump to be the nominee or someone else? 

Total 500 

DONALD TRUMP 36.1% 

SOMEONE ELSE 52.4% 

DK/REFUSED 11.4% 

Net Diff. -16.3% 

  1. Who is more likely to defeat Joe Biden in the general election for President? 

Total 500 

DONALD TRUMP 36.1% 

SOMEONE ELSE 51.9% 

DK/REFUSED 12.0% 

Net Diff. -15.7%

  1. Do you agree or disagree with Donald Trump’s statement last weekend that provisions  of the United States Constitution should be terminated so that he can either be reinstated  as president or rerun the 2020 Presidential Election? 

Total 500 

AGREE 25.8% 

 Strongly 13.9% 

 Somewhat 11.8% 

DISAGREE 57.9% 

 Somewhat 13.9% 

 Strongly 44.0% 

DK/REFUSED 16.3% 

Net Diff. -32.2% 

  1. If you were to label yourself, would you say you are a liberal, a moderate, or a  conservative in your political beliefs?  

Total 500 

LIBERAL 3.8% 

 Very 1.5% 

 Somewhat 2.3% 

MODERATE 12.3% 

CONSERVATIVE 82.5% 

 Somewhat 26.6% 

 Very 55.9% 

DK/REFUSED 1.4% 

Net Diff. 78.7% 

  1. Now, thinking about the Republican Party and how you align with it, do you consider  yourself to be…                                                More of a supporter of Donald Trump                                                                                                                                                                                            or                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   More of a supporter of the traditional Republican Party 

Total 500 

DONALD TRUMP 43.3% 

TRADITIONAL GOP 43.7% 

DK/REFUSED 13.0% 

Net Diff. -0.5%

  1. How often do you watch the Fox News Network?  

Total 500 

REGULARLY 43.9% 

 Everyday 27.1% 

 Several times a Week 16.8% 

RARELY/NEVER 54.8% 

 Few Times a Month 15.6% 

 Rarely/Never 39.3% 

DK/REFUSED 1.2% 

Net Diff. -10.9% 

  1. What is the last grade of formal education you have completed?  

Total 500 

LESS THAN COLLEGE 54.0% 

 Less than High School 1.0% 

 High School Graduate 13.4% 

 Some College/Trade 24.2% 

 Associates/2-yr Degree 15.4% 

COLLEGE/POST GRAD 45.8% 

 Bachelors/4-yr Degree 32.4% 

 Post Graduate Degree 13.4% 

  1. Do you consider yourself to be an Evangelical or Born-Again Christian? 

Total 500 

YES 62.3% 

NO 31.0% 

DK/REFUSED 6.7% 

  1. What is your main racial background? 

Total 500 

WHITE 96.0% 

NON-WHITE 4.0% 

 African-American/Black 1.0% 

Hispanic/Latino 2.0% 

 Asian/Asian-American 0.8%

DifferentiatorsData.com | Differentiator.com  

  1. Now more specifically, which ONE of the following statements most closely describes  your position on the issue of abortion? 
  2. Abortions should not be legal in any circumstance 
  3. Abortions should be legal only in order to protect the life of the mother 
  4. Abortions should be legal only in the case of incest, rape, or to protect the life of the  mother 
  5. Abortions should be legal until the 12th week of pregnancy 
  6. Abortions should be legal until the 24th week of pregnancy 
  7. Abortions should be legal in all circumstances 

Total 500 

PRO-LIFE 69.2% 

 Shouldn't Be Legal 15.3% 

 Protect Mother's Life 15.4% 

 Case of Incest/Rape 38.5% 

PRO-CHOICE 23.1% 

 Legal: Until 12th Week 12.4% 

 Legal: Until 24th Week 4.8% 

 Legal: All Circumstances 5.9% 

DK/REFUSED 7.7% 

Net Diff. 46.0% 

  1. What is your age? Are you between…?  

Total 500 

18-29 6.0% 

30-40 10.0% 

41-55 23.0% 

56-65 23.0% 

OVER 65 38.0% 

  1. Gender:  

Total 500 

MALE 50.0% 

FEMALE 50.0% 

  1. Interview:  

Total 500 

LANDLINE 34.0% 

MOBILE PHONE 33.0% 

TEXT 33.0% 

  1. Media Market:  

Total 500 

MAJOR MARKETS 72.0% 

 Greensboro 20.0% 

 Charlotte 28.0% 

 Raleigh Durham 24.0% 

REST OF STATE 28.0% 

 Greenville - N. Bern 8.0% 

 Wilmington/F-M Beach 6.0% 

 Spart/Ash/ATL/Chattan. 12.0% 

 Norfolk 2.0% 

  1. Rural/Exurban/Urban:  

Total 500 

RURAL 46.1% 

EXURBAN 23.7% 

URBAN 30.3%   

  1. 2022 GOP PRIMARY: 

Total 500 

YES 68.4% 

NO 31.6% 

  1. 2020 GOP PRIMARY: 

Total 500 

YES 57.5% 

NO 42.5% 

  1. 2016 GOP PRIMARY: 

Total 500 

YES 65.7% 

NO 34.3% 

  1. Voter Household Republican Primary Election History (22,20,16):  

Total 500 

0 OF 3 0.0% 

1 OF 3 39.3% 

2 OF 3 29.7% 

3 OF 3 31.0%









Read More NC SPIN >>